Portfolio Strategies

What scenario analysis reveals about your portfolio’s glidepath toward retirement income

I run scenario analysis on my clients’ retirement plans like a pilot runs checklists before takeoff: it’s not glamorous, but it’s the thing that prevents disaster. When I talk about a portfolio’s “glidepath” toward retirement income, I mean the path your asset allocation, expected returns, volatility, and withdrawals together create as you transition from accumulation to distribution. Scenario analysis doesn’t predict the future....

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How to hedge a concentrated stock position using options without blowing up returns

I’ve helped investors and real estate owners quantify risk and design practical hedges for years, and one of the most common problems I see is a concentrated stock position — often an employee with most of their net worth parked in one company. Options are a powerful, flexible tool to reduce that tail risk without necessarily selling shares and triggering a taxable event or giving up upside. Below I walk through the approaches I use and...

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How to backtest a simple momentum strategy in excel using free data sources

I often get asked how to validate an investment idea without paying for fancy software or hiring a quant team. One of my favorite ways to do that is to backtest a straightforward momentum strategy in Excel using free data sources. It’s practical, transparent, and — crucially — reproducible. In this article I’ll walk you through the exact steps I use, including where to get data, how to structure your spreadsheet, the formulas to...

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What a 70/30 real estate-to-equity allocation looks like for early retirees

I retired early with a significant portion of my net worth in property and a smaller — but still meaningful — allocation to equities. Over the years I’ve seen readers ask a recurring question: what does a 70/30 real estate-to-equity split actually look like in practice for an early retiree? In this piece I walk through the mechanics, the risks, and a few realistic examples of income and liquidity management so you can judge whether a heavy...

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How to build a recession-resistant portfolio with dividend etfs and short-duration bonds

When markets slow and headlines scream “recession,” my first instinct isn’t to panic — it's to revisit the portfolio’s structural defenses. Over the past decade of working with investors and writing about portfolio strategies at Wealthstatista, I’ve come back again and again to the same practical combination: dividend-focused ETFs paired with short-duration bonds. Together they can provide income, downside dampening, and the...

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